No poll can be trusted. No one knows the real state of this thing right now. Barack Obama is just as likely to be up 15% as he is to be down 6%. It is impossible to properly gauge an election where the number of new and first-time voters will be this far off the chart. The old model no longer applies, and until we have solid data from this election there won’t be a new one. The only poll that matters is the one that will be taken on November 4th.
Any voter who claims to still be undecided at this ridiculously late date is going to break to McCain in the voting booth—they just haven’t settled on their reason why. No one wants to admit they won’t support the black guy, whether it is to a pollster or to themselves. So they desperately thrash about looking for any lifeline that will save them from facing the reality that they are a racist. For some that reason will be Obama’s new found aunt. For others it will be the McCain campaign’s charge of socialism. Desperation may be the world’s worst cologne, but denial is a close second.
And it should go without saying that this is not true for all, or even most, McCain supporters. If you truly believe in John McCain then you made up your mind months ago. If you were convinced in recent weeks then you might gladly tell a pollster the reason why. There are stark policy differences between these two men. There is nothing wrong with thinking McCain would be better…even if it makes you wrong.
This is about those of you still clinging to the title of “undecided”, a grouping one poll this weekend has numbered at 9% of the electorate. You should know that we know what you really are. These last eight years have done far too much damage for you to honestly still be torn between left and right or between red and blue. If you want us to believe that you haven’t yet made up your mind, you should know why we think that is.
America has a clear choice to make on Tuesday. It will say something wonderful about this nation if we choose to elect a black man named Barack Hussein Obama, Jr. to the presidency. Given the current state of the this country, and given which party controlled the White House these last eight years, it will say just as much about us if we don’t.
Don’t believe the polls. Remember the New Hampshire primary. Worry about the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
Yes we can…but it won’t be that easy.
On a different note, this is my 100th post to this here blog. Big thanks go out to you, my six readers, for all your kind words and support. Just a few more days of all-politics-all-the-time.
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